Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Rankin County Election Analysis

Below is a breakdown of the results from election day in Rankin County insofar as it affected the U.S. Senate Race.  This analysis is borrowed; I do not claim this analysis as my own.  Some of these numbers are extraordinary, i.e., a 20% increase in voting for the run-off.  Other interesting facts: 

     -  District 3 (Greg Wilcox) switched from McDaniel to Cochran.
     -  District 1 (Jared Morrison) was the only McDaniel district during the run-off, but he won it with a comfortable margin.
     -  District 2 (Wood Brown) was Cochran's best; he won it by nearly 1000 votes alone.

Overall County Results

Total of votes cast in Rankin County for Cochran or McDaniel on June 3 – 23,559
Total of votes cast in Rankin County for Cochran or McDaniel on June 24 – 28,276
Difference – increase of 4,717 votes cast
Percentage Difference – + 20.02%

Total votes for Cochran June 3 – 11,900
Total votes for McDaniel June 3 – 11,659
Difference - +241 for Cochran

Total votes for Cochran June 24 – 14,902
Total votes for McDaniel June 24 – 13,374
Difference - +1,528 for Cochran
  
Analysis by Supervisor District (below the jump)


District 1 (Jared Morrison)

Turnout June 3 – 4,070
Turnout June 24 – 4,780
Difference - +710 votes (+17.4%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 3 – 1,833
Total Votes McDaniel on June 3 – 2,237
Difference +404 McDaniel (54.9% to 45.1%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 24 – 2,171
Total Votes McDaniel on June 24 – 2,609
Difference +438 McDaniel (54.6% to 45.4%)
  
District 2 (Wood Brown)

Turnout June 3 – 5,735
Turnout June 24 – 6,856
Difference - +1,121 voters (+19.54%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 3 – 3,126
Total Votes McDaniel on June 3 – 2,609
Difference +517 Cochran (54.6% to 45.4%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 24 – 3,915
Total Votes McDaniel on June 24 – 2,941
Difference +974 Cochran (57.1% to 42.9%)

 District 3 (Greg Wilcox)

Turnout June 3 – 3,787
Turnout June 24 – 4,650
Difference - +863 voters (+22.8%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 3 – 1,811
Total Votes McDaniel on June 3 – 1,976
Difference +165 McDaniel (52.1% to 47.9%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 24 – 2,408
Total Votes McDaniel on June 24 – 2,242
Difference +166 Cochran (51.8% to 48.2%)

 District 4 (Walter Johnson)

Turnout June 3 – 5,797
Turnout June 24 – 6,882
Difference - +1,085 voters (+18.7%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 3 – 2,955
Total Votes McDaniel on June 3 – 2,842
Difference +113 Cochran (50.9% to 49.1%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 24 – 3,644
Total Votes McDaniel on June 24 – 3,238
Difference +406 Cochran (52.9% to 47.1%)
  
District 5 (Jay Bishop)

Turnout June 3 – 4,170
Turnout June 24 – 5,108
Difference - +938 voters (+22.4%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 3 – 2,175
Total Votes McDaniel on June 3 – 1,995
Difference +180 Cochran (52.2% to 47.8%)

Total Votes Cochran on June 24 – 2,764
Total Votes McDaniel on June 24 – 2,344

Difference +420 Cochran (54.1% to 45.9%)

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Nice work. Good analysis.